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Time To Step On The Gas

Consider this scenario.  The Vikings beat the Bears on Sunday.  The Saints lose to the Patriots on Monday.  This is not a farfetched scenario and would put both teams at 10-1. 

Then, since they’re the hottest teams in the NFC, they both manage to win out and end up 15-1.  Again, this is not too farfetched.

Who gets home field advantage if they meet in the playoffs?

Here is how the tie breaker could shake out:

  1.  Head to Head:  This is not applicable this season.
  2. Conference Record:  In the scenario above, each team would be undefeated in the NFC.
  3. Common Games (minimum of four):  Each team would be undefeated in their common games.
  4. Strength of Victory:  This is where things get sticky.

That’s right, it is not all that unthinkable that the Vikings and Saints home field advantage could come down to how badly they have beaten their opponents. 

So far the Saints have outscored their opponents by a total of 165 points.  The Vikings have outscored their opponents by 113 points.

So, while some people might think that it is too early to think about this, and that this scenario is far too speculative, do not doubt for one second that Vikings’ ownership, management, and coaches know the importance of hosting as many playoff games as possible.  It is important in that home teams have certain competitive advantages, and also is important to their stadium efforts.

For these reasons, do not be surprised if the Vikings try to turn up the intensity and make blowouts (like the one against Seattle) a very regular occurrence.


UPDATE:  I stand corrected.  I need a fact checker.  Strength of victory (step #4) is actually the winning percentage of the teams you have beat.  Not how badly you beat them.  The teams that the Vikings have beat or have yet to play have a combined 62 wins to date.  The teams that the Saints have beat or have yet to play have a combined 64 wins to date.  The Saints lsoing to the Patriots would go a long ways towards getting the Vikings homefield advantage.

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14 Responses to “Time To Step On The Gas”

  1. Purple Charlie says:

    What about strength of Schedule ??? Too bad that doesn’t play in to it

  2. Adam Warwas says:

    Strength of Schedule would be the next tie breaker, as i understand it… but the chances of the vikings and Saints having the same exact margin of victories seems so incredibly slim that I didn’t bother going that deep.

  3. bigjohnny84 says:

    In that scenario, it would really suck to go 15-1 and not have homefield advantage. Charlie trust me Adam will be all over the different scenarios as they happen.

  4. Purple Charlie says:

    You’re right, It would suck big time… If it did somehow happen, It would be nice if a wild card team would knock them out.

    Happened to the Titians last year…

  5. Bismuth says:

    I don’t think home field advantage is important enough to worry about running up the score. Recent past playoff results don’t show any sort of advantage to having the #1 seed. I’d rather see the Vikings sit their starters (especially Favre) when the game is in hand rather than try to run up the score to try and influence which dome would host the NFC championship.

    But I’m still hoping for plenty of blowouts.

    • Adam Warwas says:

      I agree, Bismuth, especially with the lead the Saints already have over us in this capacity. Health in the playoffs is far more important than where the game is being played.

      That being said, you know the Vikings will not bench the starters until the 4th quarter, so the Vikes will look to kill two birds with one stone. Jump to a huge lead early, rest the starters, AND gain some ground in the points scored area.

  6. c.carterhof says:

    Wait a minute there Adam. Doesnt strength of victory mean the win loss % of the teams you beat?
    And not how much win by.
    Thats what I thought, but I could be wrong.

  7. Purple Charlie says:

    I 2nd it on carter, A 3rd make it a done deal.

  8. bigjohnny84 says:

    I 3rd it for c.c. Congrads c.c. my friend you get the job unless Freds starts crying or something. Lets just be healthy when playoffs arrive. We’ll still be home when playoffs start and likely a bye week.

  9. Lost Viking says:

    The 3rd tiebreaker is SAME opponent.

    Vike have Panther in Week 14 and the Giant to end the year. Put an asterisk beside these games as Saint already have wins there.

    Saint don’t play anyone we’ve beaten but have one remaining game against Panther in week 13

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